Breakingviews - Cox: When commemorating crises, think 20 not 10

The wedding-industrial complex tries to convince couples to celebrate their nuptials every year with a traditional gift. The quality of each present increases with longevity. In year one it’s just paper for the spouse. After 50 it’s glittering gold, and so on. The same could be said for commemorating financial crises: The further away from the anniversary, the more valuable the lesson to be learned.

Breakingviews - Fried chicken risks diverting Beijing state fund

Beijing's sovereign wealth fund could do without the fried chicken. China Investment Corporation may join a bid to take private Yum China, the $14 billion operator of KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell outlets in the People’s Republic, Bloomberg reports. A takeout has merits, but is also a risky distraction for the $940 billion giant. Its mission is to invest the country’s vast foreign exchange holdings abroad – not to dabble in complicated buyouts at home. 

Breakingviews - Tesla is risky vehicle for Saudi reform drive

Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman risks picking the wrong driver. The kingdom’s sovereign wealth fund already holds nearly 5 percent of Tesla and expressed interest in taking the electric-vehicle innovator private, according to boss Elon Musk. That’d be a dicey way to diversify away from oil.

Breakingviews - China’s stealth housing support is looking wobbly

China’s stealth support for housing is looking wobbly. Officials are tweaking a $470 billion program through which the People’s Bank of China effectively provides lenders with cheap loans to upgrade housing in smaller cities. Even a small change to the scheme could cause real estate and stock markets to shudder.

Breakingviews - Musk missive reveals more than he might like

Elon Musk has revealed a bit about his mooted buyout of Tesla, and a lot about himself. On Monday he explained why he thinks a $59 billion take-private deal is doable, and claimed that the Saudis want to finance it. But the way he has handled disclosures confirms how ill-suited he is for his public role.

Breakingviews - Political risk creeps into China’s very bad bank

Beijing’s ownership is no longer reliable investor insurance. China Huarong Asset Management said on Sunday that its first-half earnings would fall sharply, the latest stumble in an acute crisis triggered by its chairman’s fall from grace. The government, its top stakeholder, seems content to watch the stock collapse. State backing, it seems, now comes with even more fine print.

Breakingviews - Turkey fated to pick worst of its bad options

After digging itself into a crisis, Turkey will probably find the worst way out. The lira’s alarming slide is fanning concern that the country will struggle to meet external financing needs. President Tayyip Erdogan may soon have to choose between imposing capital controls and seeking help from the International Monetary Fund. Defiant self-sufficiency is more his style.

Breakingviews - Macau moguls’ rivalry threatens cost discipline

A fight for big spenders in Macau has made earnings volatile in China's gambling hub. Battle lines are being drawn in the gaudy Cotai Strip, where casinos are pulling out the stops to pull in the punters. The conflict is likely to spread, and could weigh on profit margins.

Breakingviews - Tesla gets a lesson in buyout realities

Tesla is getting a lesson in buyout realities. Elon Musk’s stated desire to take the money-losing carmaker private has set Wall Street all atwitter. But Dun & Bradstreet’s $5.4 billion leveraged buyout, announced on Thursday, is a reminder of what it usually takes: a mature, mediocre, profitable firm. That’s a better bet than capital-draining dreams of domination.

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